50 Years Acome - This Month's Highlights - September 2064

History of the 21st Century - The 1st Decade .

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The Early Years

At the turn of the 21st Century.
-There were 6.2 billion inhabitants in the Biosphere
-The Central part of Nothern America was one country with a single Administration.
-Africa was made up of about 40 states.
-A loose Union of 14 Sovereign nations in Europe  had been forged.
-The islands to the west of Europe constituted the United Kingdom
-China was split into two and was only an emerging industrialised region.
-India was considered  a poor region
-The Middle East had never had a violence-free day.
-The oldest person alive today was only 50 years
-None of the Councillors had been born
-The richest 10% of people owned almost 80% of the wealth
-79% of humans were unable to read.
-50% of humans suffered from malnutrition
-Only about 1% of people owned a computer

In an enthralling 10 part Series, Rudo Kuwau our history reviewer, will analyze the extraordinary trend of events in  this first half of the 21st Century.
 
The beginning of the 21st century  
 
The First Chapter
 
- The early years (2000-2005)-
 
"Little in time, a lot in action "  - David Holmes, (characterising the 20th Century)
 
Anyone above 60 years would  now be breathless at the awesome pace of events this last half century. The renowned historian D. Holmes, will perhaps now consider the  20th Century snail-paced or even immutable compared to the present ultra-fast transmutations. Macro historians have described this period of metamorphic transpiration of events as 'dynamic history'. Until this century a person could live a life-span, without having to experience such profound and drastic transformations in the society.
This Century is when the artificial constructs of human existence with respect to the economic, political, cultural, ethical and value systems, came to be dismantled  and reengineered. If all these have happened in the 1st half what will the remainder bring? Perhaps an extraordinarily  new society awaits us.
Let us look back then. 
 
The Century was hatched from a backdrop of extensive conflicts and realignment of political, economic and social loyalties between Cultural entities (Nations) 
In 2000, the United States emerged seemingly as the dominant power of  geopolitics after the fragmentation of the Soviet Union into lesser entities only about a decade earlier.
 
-The US' apparent dominance, cloaked deep fissures in its wholistic structure. Its economy then dwelt mostly on services after having in the preceding years, transferred most of its solid- state industry and production to other regions where production cost was cheaper. 
-The economic dispensation had created a vast chasm between the wealthy and the deprived  thereby fostering widespread disenchantment and polarisation 
-The justice and the political systems were influenced by the  wealthy and the individual's rights were slowly eroded and trampled on.
-A massive proportion of the budget was dedicated to the military. Its defence bill was almost 50% of the entire globe's expenditure on defence.
-Most significantly its then leaders adopted a belligerent foreign policy by disregarding the status quo in the quest to serve its ad hoc interests.
 
In retrospect, all the indicators to the fate of the United States had been conspicuous. The trend of events in the sole Superpower faithfully mirrored the pattern of an Empire's decline as recognised by macrohistorians.
The clearest index of erosion of an Empire's influence is when the cost of defence exceeds a  threshold level. To consolidate an empire, an entity must possess overwhelming military superiority over its adversaries and the deployment of such a military force must be minimal in terms of military equipment and human cost.
The Roman empire thrived because of their advanced military capability, necessitating relatively few soldiers to conquer whole armies.
It is always said in awe that during the height of the British Empire, less that a thousand British military personnel were able to control the entire Indian sub region and Africa together nearly a billion people. When any group got cantankerous, the British could send a single ship with a few cannons to quell any rebellion. The Spanish conquistadors who pillaged, massacred and seized entire regions in South  America were numbered in the hundreds only. Only a handful of Calvary men defeated armies of tens of thousands. During those times only the threat to deploy troops was enough to let King Ferdinand or Queen Victoria have their ways. Both of these Empires collapsed when the cost of defense became stratospheric In essence, the threshold level was exceeded. The Spanish needing an entire Armada to threaten England, and England  requiring too many troops tied up for too long with consequently, extensive fiscal expenditure  to fight the tiniest rebellions. The fate of these Empires  had been sealed by these circumstances. In 2003 it required  a quarter of a million American troops and a mass of military hardware to illegally invade  Iraq of just 25 million people wielding outdated military hardware. On reflection, it was clear  even at that time that, the US needed to spend increasingly large proportions of its budgetary outlay on the military in order to retain its dominance. Without an inexhaustible source of funds, the crack was soon to follow.
 
Chapter Two
 
-The 2nd half of the 1st Decade 
-(2005 -2010)